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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Old Trafford
AV

Man Utd
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Fernandes (39')
Fred (87'), Malacia (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Man Utd
Thursday, April 27 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Fulham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
64.85% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04) 19.87% (0.041 0.04) 15.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.187 -0.19)41.84% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (-0.189 -0.19)64.25% (0.188 0.19)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.84% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)12.15% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (-0.143 -0.14)37.76% (0.142 0.14)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88% (-0.114 -0.11)40.12% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (-0.104 -0.1)76.76% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 64.84%
    Aston Villa 15.28%
    Draw 19.87%
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 10.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 64.84%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.87%
0-1 @ 4.45% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 15.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Man Utd
Thursday, April 27 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Man Utd (6-7 pen.)
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Man Utd
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, April 16 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Everton
Saturday, April 8 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Fulham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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