Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Aston Villa |
64.85% (![]() | 19.87% (![]() | 15.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.15% (![]() | 41.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.75% (![]() | 64.25% (![]() |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.84% (![]() | 12.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.24% (![]() | 37.76% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.88% (![]() | 40.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.24% (![]() | 76.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-0 @ 10.82% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.27% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.95% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 3.55% Total : 64.84% | 1-1 @ 9.38% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.87% | 0-1 @ 4.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.28% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: