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Arsenal vs. Man United: 1 day 1 hr 24 mins
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Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Falmer Stadium
MU

Brighton
1 - 0
Man Utd

Mac Allister (90+9' pen.)
Webster (52'), Dunk (70'), Colwill (77'), Caicedo (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Casemiro (44'), Dalot (59'), Antony (69'), Shaw (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Manchester United win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawManchester United
56.88% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 22.35% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 20.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)43.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)66.28% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)15.22% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)43.87% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.92% (0.010999999999996 0.01)35.08% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.82% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 56.88%
    Manchester United 20.77%
    Draw 22.34%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.88%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 6-0 Wolves
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 3-1 Brighton
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Man Utd (6-7 pen.)
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 1-2 Brighton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Brighton
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Man Utd
Thursday, April 27 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Man Utd (6-7 pen.)
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Man Utd
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, April 16 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League


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