SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 79.72%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 6.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 1-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Bournemouth |
79.72% ( -0.07) | 13.53% ( 0.13) | 6.75% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.54% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.04% ( -0.97) | 36.96% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% ( -1.06) | 59.14% ( 1.06) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.69% ( -0.22) | 7.31% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.55% ( -0.59) | 26.45% ( 0.59) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.98% ( -0.88) | 53.02% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.34% ( -0.57) | 86.66% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.56% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.51% Total : 79.71% | 1-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.55% Total : 13.53% | 0-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.25% Total : 6.75% |
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