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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Chelsea |
37.03% ( 0.98) | 23.14% ( 0.02) | 39.82% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.74% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.39% ( -0) | 36.61% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.24% ( -0) | 58.76% ( 0) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( 0.48) | 20.18% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.52% ( 0.76) | 52.47% ( -0.76) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( -0.44) | 18.89% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.63% ( -0.74) | 50.37% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.12% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.54% Total : 39.83% |
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