Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 82.76%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 5.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.68%) and 0-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.48%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
