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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
NL

Brentford
1 - 2
Newcastle

Toney (45+1' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Raya (54' og.), Isak (61')
Botman (28'), Isak (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Brentford
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
BrentfordDrawNewcastle United
28.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 46.29% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (0.010000000000002 0.01)70.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11%30.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)67.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)20.97% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)53.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 28.65%
    Newcastle United 46.28%
    Draw 25.06%
BrentfordDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.65%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Brentford
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-3 Brentford
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Leicester
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Brentford
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 Fulham
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-5 Newcastle
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Man Utd
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-2 Newcastle
Friday, March 17 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Newcastle
Saturday, March 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Newcastle
Sunday, February 26 at 4.30pm in EFL Cup


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