SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Brentford |
73.69% ( 0.23) | 16.64% ( -0.01) | 9.67% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.09% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -0.67) | 41.27% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( -0.68) | 63.67% ( 0.68) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.3% ( -0.11) | 9.7% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.67% ( -0.27) | 32.33% ( 0.27) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.04% ( -0.9) | 48.96% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.07% ( -0.65) | 83.92% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.36% Total : 73.68% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.68% Total : 16.64% | 0-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 9.67% |
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