Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Aston Villa
38.29% ( 0.06)	26.36% ( 0)	35.35% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.24% (

-0.01)

51.75% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.47% (

-0.01)

73.52% (

0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

0.03)

26.36% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49% (

0.04)

61.51% (

-0.04)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

-0.05)

28.07% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.26% (

-0.06)

63.74% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Brentford 38.29%

Aston Villa 35.35%

Draw 26.35%

Brentford	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.29%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.35%