Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 12.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
-0.41) 
0.2) 
