Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 11.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.42%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
11.47% ( 0.11) | 17.58% ( 0.11) | 70.95% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.48% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.66% ( -0.21) | 40.34% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.28% ( -0.22) | 62.71% ( 0.22) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.06% ( 0.05) | 44.94% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.12% ( 0.04) | 80.88% ( -0.04) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.87% ( -0.11) | 10.13% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.68% ( -0.25) | 33.32% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 11.47% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.58% | 0-2 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.21% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 70.95% |
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