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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
BL

Watford
1 - 2
Burnley

Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 1-2 Burnley

Finding the back of the net at the Etihad should give Watford the belief that they can make the net ripple at least once in a game with so much at stake, but a revitalised Burnley are sure to take advantage of the Hornets' ongoing defensive woes. It has been nothing but defeat after defeat for Watford in front of their own fans recently, and while Hodgson will rally his troops as best he can, their fate should be virtually sealed as Burnley boost their own hopes of survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
WatfordDrawBurnley
34.45%26.49%39.06%
Both teams to score 52.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57%52.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89%74.11%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04%28.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15%64.85%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74%26.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63%61.36%
Score Analysis
    Watford 34.45%
    Burnley 39.05%
    Draw 26.49%
WatfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Watford
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Brentford
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Watford
Saturday, April 2 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Watford
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 4-0 Watford
Thursday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Wolves
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Southampton
Thursday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Burnley
Sunday, April 17 at 2.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Burnley
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 3-2 Everton
Wednesday, April 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Man City
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Premier League


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