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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
WL

Man City
5 - 1
Watford

Jesus (4', 23', 49' pen., 53'), Rodri (34')
Cancelo (43')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kamara (28')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Manchester City 2-0 Watford

Watford are certainly capable of making it an uncomfortable 90 minutes for Man City, with the Hornets boasting a lot of talent in the final third of the field. Man City cannot afford to drop points, though, and we are fully expecting the Citizens to secure all three points in relatively routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 87.21%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 3.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 4-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.14%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawWatford
87.21%8.82%3.97%
Both teams to score 44.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.72%25.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.69%45.31%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.23%3.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.87%16.13%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.46%53.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.01%86.99%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 87.2%
    Watford 3.97%
    Draw 8.82%
Manchester CityDrawWatford
3-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 10.85%
4-0 @ 9.74%
3-1 @ 7.42%
2-1 @ 6.78%
1-0 @ 6.62%
5-0 @ 6.39%
4-1 @ 6.08%
5-1 @ 3.99%
6-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.32%
6-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.9%
7-0 @ 1.64%
5-2 @ 1.25%
7-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 87.2%
1-1 @ 4.14%
2-2 @ 2.12%
0-0 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 8.82%
1-2 @ 1.29%
0-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 3.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Brighton
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-3 Liverpool
Saturday, April 16 at 3.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Man City
Wednesday, April 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-2 Liverpool
Sunday, April 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, April 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Man City
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Brentford
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Watford
Saturday, April 2 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Watford
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 4-0 Watford
Thursday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 2-3 Arsenal
Sunday, March 6 at 2pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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