SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 7.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.93%) and 1-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Everton |
77.79% ( -0.02) | 14.46% ( 0.01) | 7.75% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.52% ( 0.03) | 37.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.29% ( 0.03) | 59.7% ( -0.03) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.16% ( 0) | 7.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.2% ( 0) | 27.8% ( -0) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.28% ( 0.07) | 50.72% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.85% ( 0.04) | 85.15% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Everton |
| 2-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.73% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 77.77% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 14.46% | 0-1 @ 2.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 7.75% |
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