Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 7.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.93%) and 1-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
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