SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 0-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Brentford |
16.58% ( 0.03) | 19.65% ( -0.01) | 63.77% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.47% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( 0.08) | 38.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.46% ( 0.09) | 60.54% ( -0.09) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( 0.08) | 36.27% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.94% ( 0.08) | 73.06% ( -0.09) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.61% ( 0.02) | 11.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.88% ( 0.04) | 36.12% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 16.58% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.65% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 7.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 4.25% Total : 63.77% |
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