It is extremely difficult to back Everton with any real conviction at the moment - especially amid Calvert Lewin's fitness woes - while Newcastle are only on an upward trajectory. A potential lack of midfield options could spell danger for the visitors, but we can still see Newcastle getting their revival back on track as Everton's relegation fears deepen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Newcastle United
45.92%	26.48%	27.6%

Both teams to score 49.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.27%

54.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.95%

76.05%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21%

23.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06%

57.94%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02%

34.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27%

71.73%

Score Analysis

Everton 45.91%

Newcastle United 27.6%

Draw 26.48%

Everton	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.91%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.6%