SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
57.43% ( -1.28) | 22.4% ( 0.35) | 20.17% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( -0.21) | 44.93% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( -0.2) | 67.28% ( 0.2) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( -0.49) | 15.39% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.81% ( -0.92) | 44.18% ( 0.92) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( 0.85) | 36.27% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.94% ( 0.85) | 73.05% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.51% Total : 57.43% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
