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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Mar 10, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Carrow Road
CL

Norwich
1 - 3
Chelsea

Pukki (69' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Chalobah (3'), Mount (14'), Havertz (90')
Mendy (68'), Chalobah (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Norwich City 0-2 Chelsea

With Norwich looking to respond to the manner of the Brentford defeat, we feel that this fixture could be much closer than many anticipate. Nevertheless, the Blues should still run out convincing victors at Carrow Road, perhaps scoring a goal in either half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 8.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.67%) and 0-3 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-0 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawChelsea
8.94%15.8%75.25%
Both teams to score 46.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29%39.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93%62.07%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.53%49.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.71%84.29%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.06%8.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.48%30.52%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 8.94%
    Chelsea 75.24%
    Draw 15.8%
Norwich CityDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 3.11%
2-1 @ 2.65%
2-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 8.94%
1-1 @ 7.52%
0-0 @ 4.42%
2-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 15.8%
0-2 @ 12.89%
0-1 @ 10.67%
0-3 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 9.08%
1-3 @ 7.31%
0-4 @ 6.27%
1-4 @ 4.41%
0-5 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.57%
1-5 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 1.55%
0-6 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 75.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 1-3 Brentford
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, March 2 at 8.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Norwich
Friday, February 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 0-4 Man City
Saturday, February 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-4 Chelsea
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, March 2 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Liverpool (10-11 pen.)
Sunday, February 27 at 4.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Lille
Tuesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Palmeiras
Saturday, February 12 at 4.30pm in Club World Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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