With Norwich looking to respond to the manner of the Brentford defeat, we feel that this fixture could be much closer than many anticipate. Nevertheless, the Blues should still run out convincing victors at Carrow Road, perhaps scoring a goal in either half.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 8.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.67%) and 0-3 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-0 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
