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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 15, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
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Spurs
0 - 2
Arsenal


Romero (35'), Sessegnon (45+1'), Sarr (53'), Lenglet (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lloris (14' og.), Odegaard (36')
Martinelli (70'), Magalhaes (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawArsenal
32.12% (-0.759 -0.76) 26.07% (-0.214 -0.21) 41.81% (0.97 0.97)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.441 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.677 0.68)51.18% (-0.67899999999999 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (0.59 0.59)73.02% (-0.593 -0.59)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)29.84% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (-0.2 -0.2)65.93% (0.197 0.2)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.80200000000001 0.8)24.24% (-0.805 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (1.122 1.12)58.59% (-1.126 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 32.12%
    Arsenal 41.81%
    Draw 26.06%
Tottenham HotspurDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.195 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.12%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 10.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-4 Spurs
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 0-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Spurs
Monday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Nice
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Spurs 4-0 Motherwell
Friday, December 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Arsenal
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-4 Arsenal
Saturday, December 31 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 West Ham
Monday, December 26 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 17 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 AC Milan
Tuesday, December 13 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1


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