SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.46%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 6.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
81.46% ( 0.05) | 11.65% ( -0.03) | 6.89% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.15% ( 0.08) | 25.85% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.98% ( 0.1) | 46.01% ( -0.09) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.24% ( 0.03) | 4.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.76% ( 0.07) | 19.24% ( -0.06) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.94% ( 0.02) | 44.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.83% ( 0.02) | 80.17% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 4.82% Total : 81.46% | 1-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 11.65% | 1-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 6.89% |
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