SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 88.34%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Everton had a probability of 3.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Everton |
88.34% ( 0.43) | 7.99% ( -0.26) | 3.67% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.02% ( 0.48) | 21.98% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.13% ( 0.66) | 40.87% ( -0.66) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.89% ( 0.13) | 3.1% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.12% ( 0.45) | 13.88% ( -0.45) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.14% ( -0.33) | 51.86% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.09% ( -0.22) | 85.91% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Everton |
| 3-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.14)6-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.99% Total : 88.34% | 1-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.61% Total : 7.99% | 1-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.41% Total : 3.67% |
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