Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Chelsea |
39.11% ( -0.45) | 26.94% ( -0.09) | 33.96% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.7% ( 0.46) | 54.3% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.31% ( 0.38) | 75.69% ( -0.38) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( -0.03) | 27.1% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% ( -0.05) | 62.48% ( 0.05) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% ( 0.59) | 30.2% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.64% ( 0.7) | 66.35% ( -0.7) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.1% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.96% |
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