Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
37.15% ( 0.16)	23.79% ( 0.03)	39.06% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 62.25% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.15% (

-0.12)

39.84% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.8% (

-0.13)

62.2% (

0.13)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44% (

0.03)

21.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.36% (

0.05)

54.64% (

-0.05)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.37% (

-0.14)

20.63% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.8% (

-0.23)

53.2% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 37.15%

Brighton & Hove Albion 39.06%

Draw 23.79%

Aston Villa	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.15%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.06%