SM
MX23RW : Tuesday, April 1 02:44:39
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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
| 18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Vizela |
| 25.92% | 26.36% | 47.72% |
| Both teams to score 48.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% | 55.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% | 76.53% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% | 36.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.52% | 73.48% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% | 23.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.91% | 57.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 4.28% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.53% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.82% Total : 25.92% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 9.09% 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.76% Total : 47.71% |
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