Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 8.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
75.65% | 15.54% | 8.81% |
Both teams to score 46.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.08% | 38.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.76% | 61.24% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.35% | 8.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.17% | 29.83% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.77% | 49.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.88% | 84.12% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
2-0 @ 12.75% 1-0 @ 10.42% 3-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 6.37% 4-1 @ 4.51% 5-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.6% 6-0 @ 1.27% 6-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.04% Total : 75.63% | 1-1 @ 7.39% 0-0 @ 4.26% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.69% Total : 15.54% | 0-1 @ 3.02% 1-2 @ 2.62% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.1% Total : 8.81% |
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