Buoyed by their victory over Portimonense, Belenenses will head into Saturday with renewed confidence as they look to move out of the relegation zone. However, looking at past results between the sides, Benfica are clear favourites to come out victorious this weekend having won each of their last six encounters with O Belem. We predict the hosts will cruise to all three points and set the tone for their upcoming game against Liverpool.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 8.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
