Belenenses find themselves rooted to the bottom of the table majorly down to their struggles away from home this season. Now they go up against an opposing side who are unbeaten in seven straight games and boast the league's sixth-best home record. While we expect O Belem to put up a fight, we are backing Santa Clara to ride on their home crowd support and come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
