Vitoria de Guimaraes have struggled to get going on the road this season, managing just one win from their last nine away games. Meanwhile, Benfica have been utterly dominant in the history of this fixture and considering their current fine form, we predict this trend will continue with As Aguias claiming all three points unscathed.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
