SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
45.12% ( -1.39) | 25.99% ( 0.22) | 28.89% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( -0.27) | 52.14% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( -0.23) | 73.85% ( 0.23) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( -0.76) | 23.04% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.13% ( -1.12) | 56.87% ( 1.12) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( 0.75) | 32.61% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( 0.83) | 69.15% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.89% |
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