SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 9.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 3-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Nacional |
74.52% ( -0.46) | 16.27% ( 0.23) | 9.21% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( -0.29) | 41.06% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.29) | 63.45% ( 0.29) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.55% ( -0.18) | 9.45% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.26% ( -0.43) | 31.74% ( 0.43) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.2% ( 0.32) | 49.79% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.48% ( 0.22) | 84.51% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Nacional |
| 2-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.43% Total : 74.49% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.65% Total : 16.27% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.21% |
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