Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.02% ( -1.38) | 21.39% ( -0.37) | 60.59% ( 1.75) |
Both teams to score 53.47% ( -1.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.33% ( -0.5) | 43.67% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.94% ( -0.5) | 66.06% ( 0.5) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.15% ( -1.8) | 37.85% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% ( -1.8) | 74.63% ( 1.8) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.04% ( 0.38) | 13.96% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.55% ( 0.74) | 41.45% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.02% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 10.24% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.58% |
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