Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Arsenal |
34.66% (![]() | 25.39% (![]() | 39.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.1% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.31% (![]() | 47.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% (![]() | 69.88% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.46% (![]() | 26.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.26% (![]() | 61.74% (![]() |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% (![]() | 23.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% (![]() | 57.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Arsenal |
1-0 @ 8.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 9.05% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.66% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.94% |
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