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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%).
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
35.78% ( 0.19) | 24.11% ( 0.02) | 40.12% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.89% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.45% ( -0.05) | 41.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.05% ( -0.05) | 63.95% ( 0.05) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( 0.08) | 23.05% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.13% ( 0.11) | 56.87% ( -0.11) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -0.12) | 20.87% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.43% ( -0.18) | 53.57% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.78% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.12% |
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