Sporting Lisbon have been imperious in past encounters between the sides and will be backing themselves to claim all three points once again. While we expect the Pacenses to put up a fight, we predict the hosts will come out victorious and keep their title hopes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 12.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
68.05%	19.72%	12.23%

Both teams to score 44.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.1%

47.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.92%

70.08%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.94%

13.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.36%

39.64%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.54%

48.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.43%

83.57%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 68.04%

Pacos de Ferreira 12.23%

Draw 19.72%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.11% 1-0 @ 12.88% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 8.9% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-0 @ 4.53% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.33% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.69% Total : 68.04%	1-1 @ 9.33% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.72%	0-1 @ 4.58% 1-2 @ 3.38% 0-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.61% Total : 12.23%