This weekend's game sees two of the biggest sides in Portuguese football go head to head and we can expect an exciting contest filled with plenty of goalmouth action. While Benfica are perfectly capable of coming away with all three points, Sporting Lisbon head into the game in especially good form of late and we predict they will cancel out the efforts of the visitors and come out victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Benfica had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Benfica win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Benfica
55.26%	22.42%	22.32%

Both teams to score 57.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.73%

42.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.33%

64.67%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.81%

15.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.18%

43.82%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3%

32.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.75%

69.25%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 55.26%

Benfica 22.32%

Draw 22.41%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.79% Total : 55.26%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.41%	1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.32%