Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Benfica had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Benfica win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.