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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
SL

Tondela
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Hernando (71')
Boselli (13'), Augusto (52'), Pedro (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Inacio (29'), Sarabia (33', 69' pen.)
Reis (50'), Adan (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

We said: Tondela 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

Saturday's game sees two sides at opposite ends of the table go head to head with Sporting Lisbon being the clearly superior side. While Tondela will look to build on their win over Maritimo, they face the Leoes, who have won each of their last four encounters. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, and their contrasting form, we are backing Sporting Lisbon to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Tondela win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
TondelaDrawSporting Lisbon
18.11%20.77%61.11%
Both teams to score 55.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.25%40.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.87%63.13%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98%36.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2%72.79%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12%12.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.74%39.26%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 18.11%
    Sporting Lisbon 61.11%
    Draw 20.77%
TondelaDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 4.96%
1-0 @ 4.73%
2-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.73%
3-1 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 18.11%
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 5.08%
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.77%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-2 @ 9.74%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-3 @ 6.8%
0-3 @ 6.66%
1-4 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 3.47%
0-4 @ 3.41%
2-4 @ 1.78%
1-5 @ 1.43%
0-5 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 61.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Maritimo 1-3 Tondela
Sunday, April 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, March 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Tondela
Sunday, March 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 1-1 Belenenses
Monday, March 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 3-0 Mafra
Thursday, March 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Tondela
Saturday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, April 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, March 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, March 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Man City 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, March 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Arouca
Saturday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Porto
Wednesday, March 2 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal


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