Following their Europa League exit, Porto will head into Sunday's game seeking to restore some pride and continue their charge for the league title. Looking at the past results in the history of this fixture and the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing Porto to come out with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Boavista win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Porto
17.03%	20.15%	62.82%

Both teams to score 55.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.26%

39.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.9%

62.09%

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36%

36.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.57%

73.42%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91%

12.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.38%

37.61%

Score Analysis

Boavista 17.03%

Porto 62.82%

Draw 20.15%

Boavista	Draw	Porto
2-1 @ 4.72% 1-0 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.03%	1-1 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 4.98% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.15%	1-2 @ 9.93% 0-2 @ 9.89% 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-3 @ 6.99% 0-3 @ 6.97% 1-4 @ 3.7% 0-4 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.51% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.56% 0-5 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.83% Total : 62.82%