Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
64.2% (![]() | 20.51% (![]() | 15.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.32% (![]() | 44.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% (![]() | 67.05% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.8% (![]() | 13.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.07% (![]() | 39.94% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.16% (![]() | 41.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.71% (![]() | 78.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
2-0 @ 11.32% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.18% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.87% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 64.19% | 1-1 @ 9.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.51% | 0-1 @ 4.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.3% |
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