Vitoria de Guimaraes have enjoyed a fine spell in recent weeks, claiming three wins from their most recent four games. However, they are faced with the daunting task of squaring up against a rampant Porto side who have so far proven to be unbeatable. Porto have won each of the last six meetings between the teams and we predict they will extend this streak on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 0-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
