SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Porto |
8.47% ( -0.14) | 15.82% ( -0.11) | 75.71% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 43.82% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.56% ( 0.03) | 41.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.16% ( 0.03) | 63.84% ( -0.03) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.29% ( -0.31) | 51.71% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.19% ( -0.2) | 85.81% ( 0.2) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.74% ( 0.07) | 9.26% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.71% ( 0.16) | 31.29% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 8.47% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.82% | 0-2 @ 13.55% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 10.75% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 6.4% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 75.7% |
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