Buoyed by last weekend's win over Estoril Praia, Santa Clara will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence as they look to secure a top-half finish this season. They face a floundering Arouca side, who have picked up just five points from their last six games and we predict Os Acoreanos will claim all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Santa Clara
47.34%	27.16%	25.5%

Both teams to score 46.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.55%

58.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.96%

79.04%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26%

24.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71%

59.29%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.21%

38.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.47%

75.53%

Score Analysis

Arouca 47.34%

Santa Clara 25.5%

Draw 27.16%

Arouca	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 8.87% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.31% Total : 47.34%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.52% Total : 25.5%