With the accumulated know-how of Allegri and his expensively-assembled cast of underachievers, Juventus can frustrate a Sporting side which has not replicated last term's title-winning form and are a little more vulnerable these days.
As a draw would take them through to the final four, Juve will happily play the part of spoilers and focus their efforts on striking on the break - or via a set-piece situation.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.66) 
-0.86) 
