SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Juventus |
53.82% ( 0.66) | 24.42% ( 0.2) | 21.74% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% ( -1.67) | 51.44% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( -1.48) | 73.25% ( 1.48) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( -0.38) | 19.04% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.37% ( -0.64) | 50.63% ( 0.64) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% ( -1.77) | 38.38% ( 1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.86% ( -1.74) | 75.13% ( 1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.82% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.75% |
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