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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
1 - 4
NK Lokomotiva

Prsir (41')
Ndockyt (21'), Kolar (24'), Carevic (26'), Pajac (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cop (11'), Mudrazija (80', 82', 88')
Pajac (49')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and NK Lokomotiva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 2-1 Gorica
Friday, December 13 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, December 14 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.

Result
GoricaDrawNK Lokomotiva
27.39% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 47.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 52.56% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26% (0.014000000000003 0.01)50.74% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (0.013999999999999 0.01)72.64% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)33.04% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (0.012 0.01)69.63% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.51% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (0.010999999999996 0.01)54.57% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 27.39%
    NK Lokomotiva 47.18%
    Draw 25.43%
GoricaDrawNK Lokomotiva
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.36%
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 27.39%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 10.92%
1-2 @ 9.29%
0-2 @ 8.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 47.18%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 2-1 Gorica
Friday, December 13 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Hajduk Split
Saturday, December 7 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Gorica
Saturday, November 30 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 1-0 Gorica
Sunday, November 24 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, November 9 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-0 Gorica
Saturday, November 2 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, December 14 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 3-0 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-2 Istra 1961
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 0-3 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, November 8 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 0-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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