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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
1 - 0
Hajduk Split

Krizmanic (50')
Kolar (48'), Pavlovic (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sarlija (66')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Gorica
Saturday, November 30 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, December 1 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 12.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.65%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
GoricaDrawHajduk Split
12.48% (0.016 0.02) 20.86% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 66.66% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.19% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)51.9% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)73.65% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.48% (0.016999999999996 0.02)50.52% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)85.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)14.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.05% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)42.95% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 12.48%
    Hajduk Split 66.65%
    Draw 20.86%
GoricaDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 5.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 12.48%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.86%
0-1 @ 14.25%
0-2 @ 13.65%
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 8.71% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 4.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 1.6% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 66.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Gorica
Saturday, November 30 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 1-0 Gorica
Sunday, November 24 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, November 9 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-0 Gorica
Saturday, November 2 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-1 Gorica
Sunday, October 20 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, December 1 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, November 9 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Hajduk Split
Sunday, November 3 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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