SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | Osijek |
20.64% ( 0.07) | 24.12% ( 0.35) | 55.24% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 49.27% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( -1.3) | 51.47% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( -1.15) | 73.28% ( 1.15) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.47% ( -0.67) | 39.53% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.78% ( -0.63) | 76.22% ( 0.63) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( -0.64) | 18.51% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.26% ( -1.1) | 49.74% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | Osijek |
| 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.37% Total : 20.64% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.2% Total : 55.24% |
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