SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 44.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
44.98% ( 0.29) | 28.44% ( -0.03) | 26.58% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 43.5% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.88% ( -0.04) | 62.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.18% ( -0.03) | 81.82% ( 0.03) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( 0.14) | 27.61% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( 0.17) | 63.15% ( -0.17) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.1% ( -0.25) | 39.9% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.44% ( -0.23) | 76.56% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hajduk Split | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 14.17% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 26.58% |
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