SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
56.92% ( -0.87) | 23.37% ( 0.2) | 19.71% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.39% ( 0.1) | 49.61% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( 0.09) | 71.63% ( -0.09) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.79% ( -0.27) | 17.21% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.5% ( -0.48) | 47.49% ( 0.48) |
| NK Lokomotiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% ( 0.79) | 39.45% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% ( 0.73) | 76.14% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.91% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.37% Total : 19.71% |
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