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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
1 - 0
Istra 1961

Slogar (84')
Bracovic (41'), Kapulica (55'), Les (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lekweiry (40'), Maresic (83')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varazdin 2-1 Gorica
Sunday, October 20 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gorica in this match.

Result
GoricaDrawNK Istra 1961
37.87% (-0.154 -0.15) 28.39% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 33.74% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.49% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.21% (-0.188 -0.19)59.79% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.92% (-0.144 -0.14)80.07% (0.142 0.14)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.184 -0.18)30.48% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.221 -0.22)66.69% (0.22 0.22)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)33.13% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)69.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 37.86%
    NK Istra 1961 33.74%
    Draw 28.38%
GoricaDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.09% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 11.15% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Varazdin 2-1 Gorica
Sunday, October 20 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-0 Gorica
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Monday, September 30 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 4-1 Gorica
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-1 Rijeka
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Sibenik
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-1 Osijek
Friday, October 4 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 0-0 Istra 1961
Friday, September 27 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Istra 1961
Friday, September 20 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, September 14 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, August 31 at 5.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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