SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
54.95% ( -0.17) | 24.38% ( -0) | 20.67% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% ( 0.22) | 52.47% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% ( 0.18) | 74.14% ( -0.19) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( 0.02) | 19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.44% ( 0.03) | 50.56% ( -0.02) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.93% ( 0.31) | 40.07% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.28% ( 0.28) | 76.72% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.93% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.67% |
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