Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
