SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
43.8% ( -0.97) | 24.36% ( 0.08) | 31.83% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( 0.01) | 43.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( 0.01) | 66.2% ( -0.01) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( -0.42) | 20.15% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.57% ( -0.67) | 52.42% ( 0.67) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( 0.56) | 26.4% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( 0.74) | 61.56% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.83% |
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